Rest of Season Projection
LukeCategoryShohei
14HR →24
42R →59
59RBI ←48
2SB →9
.237AVG →.293
Current Season
LukeCategoryShohei
13HR ←10
22R →38
31RBI31
1SB →6
.276AVG →.289
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luke Raley
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.389, +0.074 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Shohei Ohtani
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.408, +0.093 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Luke Raley's 14 HR trail Shohei Ohtani's 24; Ohtani's .293 AVG outpaces Raley's .237. The batting average gap is the story.

