MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Luke Raley
Luke Raley
SEA · RF
Change to
Portrait of Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MIN · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Trevor Larnach.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, steals, and average. Luke Raley’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Trevor Larnach wins 3 categories (R, SB, AVG); Luke Raley wins 2 (HR, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Luke Raley
90.7
Trevor Larnach
87.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Luke Raley
47.3%
Trevor Larnach
34.9%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Luke Raley
16.4%
Trevor Larnach
7.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Luke Raley
33.7%
Trevor Larnach
29.6%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Luke Raley
21.9%
Trevor Larnach
11.2%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Luke Raley
.347
Trevor Larnach
.341
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Luke Raley
.200.300
lg AVG .295
now .276
.211
Trevor Larnach
.200.300
lg AVG .295
now .262
.263

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Luke Raley
517
now 13
7
Trevor Larnach
517
now 3
5
Runshigher is better
Luke Raley
2033.20
now 22
25
Trevor Larnach
2033.20
now 26
30
RBIhigher is better
Luke Raley
2043.60
now 31
36
Trevor Larnach
2043.60
now 17
19
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Luke Raley
.0003.20
now 1
1
Trevor Larnach
.0003.20
now 2
2
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyLuke Raley — buy.conf 0.66
Hold · leans buyTrevor Larnach — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet