Rest of Season Projection
LukeCategoryWillson
14HR →16
42R42
59RBI ←53
2SB2
.237AVG →.264
Current Season
LukeCategoryWillson
13HR ←11
22R →26
31RBI →33
1SB1
.276AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luke Raley
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.389, +0.074 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Willson Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.399, +0.084 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Raley leads Contreras 59 RBI to 53; Contreras outpaces Raley .264 AVG to .237. The average edge makes Contreras the steadier points-league asset.