Rest of Season Projection
MartínCategoryPaul
72K →126
4.24ERA →2.28
1.33WHIP →1.04
4–8W →6–14
0SV0
Current Season
MartínCategoryPaul
42K →75
2.79ERA ←2.89
1.06WHIP →0.86
3W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Martín Pérez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.228 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.32 is 1.53 above the ERA — regression coming
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.28, 1.82 below league — production is earned
Martín Pérez: 72 K / 4.24 ERA. Paul Skenes: 126 K / 2.28 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).