Rest of Season Projection
MartínCategoryRyne
68K →83
4.26ERA ←4.57
1.33WHIP →1.28
3–8W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
MartínCategoryRyne
42K →52
2.79ERA ←4.82
1.06WHIP ←1.19
3W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Martín Pérez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.228 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.34 is 1.55 above the ERA — regression coming
Ryne Nelson
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.83 +0.73 vs league with no luck excuse
Martín Pérez: 68 K / 4.26 ERA. Ryne Nelson: 83 K / 4.57 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).