MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Matt Chapman
Matt Chapman
SF · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZ · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 5 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Matt Chapman wins 0 (none); Nolan Arenado wins 0 (none); 5 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Matt Chapman
88.2
Nolan Arenado
85.1
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Matt Chapman
35.8%
Nolan Arenado
31.2%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Matt Chapman
6.6%
Nolan Arenado
7.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Matt Chapman
26.4%
Nolan Arenado
32.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Matt Chapman
10.3%
Nolan Arenado
11.2%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Matt Chapman
.286
Nolan Arenado
.299
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Matt Chapman
.200.380
lg AVG .295
now .234
.000
Nolan Arenado
.200.380
lg AVG .295
now .270
.000

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Matt Chapman
511.20
now 2
0
Nolan Arenado
511.20
now 8
0
Runshigher is better
Matt Chapman
2039.20
now 27
0
Nolan Arenado
2039.20
now 28
0
RBIhigher is better
Matt Chapman
2039.20
now 21
0
Nolan Arenado
2039.20
now 28
0
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Matt Chapman
.0002.20
now 0
0
Nolan Arenado
.0002.20
now 1
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellMatt Chapman — sell.conf 0.61
SellNolan Arenado — sell.conf 0.58
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