Rest of Season Projection
MattCategoryNolan
12HR ←7
41R →46
32RBI →46
0SB →2
.225AVG →.241
Current Season
MattCategoryNolan
2HR →8
27R →28
21RBI →28
0SB →1
.234AVG →.270
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Chapman
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.266 below league with no luck excuse
Nolan Arenado
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.330)
Matt Chapman: 12 HR / 41 R. Nolan Arenado: 7 HR / 46 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).