MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Matt Chapman
Matt Chapman
SF · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZ · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nolan Arenado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, RBI, and steals.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Nolan Arenado wins 3 categories (R, RBI, SB); Matt Chapman wins 2 (HR, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Matt Chapman
88.2
Nolan Arenado
85.4
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Matt Chapman
35.8%
Nolan Arenado
33.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Matt Chapman
6.6%
Nolan Arenado
7.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Matt Chapman
26.4%
Nolan Arenado
31.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Matt Chapman
10.3%
Nolan Arenado
11.0%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Matt Chapman
.286
Nolan Arenado
.295
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Matt Chapman
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .234
.224
Nolan Arenado
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .270
.215

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Matt Chapman
510.40
now 2
5
Nolan Arenado
510.40
now 8
3
Runshigher is better
Matt Chapman
2031.20
now 27
21
Nolan Arenado
2031.20
now 28
24
RBIhigher is better
Matt Chapman
2032.80
now 21
16
Nolan Arenado
2032.80
now 28
24
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Matt Chapman
.0002.20
now 0
0
Nolan Arenado
.0002.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
SellMatt Chapman — sell.conf 0.61
SellNolan Arenado — sell.conf 0.59
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