MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Matt Chapman
Matt Chapman
SF · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
NYY · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Matt Chapman wins 2 (R, AVG); Ryan McMahon wins 2 (RBI, SB); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Matt Chapman
88.2
Ryan McMahon
90.8
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Matt Chapman
35.8%
Ryan McMahon
49.6%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Matt Chapman
6.6%
Ryan McMahon
10.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Matt Chapman
26.4%
Ryan McMahon
29.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Matt Chapman
10.3%
Ryan McMahon
14.4%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Matt Chapman
.286
Ryan McMahon
.308
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Matt Chapman
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .234
.224
Ryan McMahon
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .207
.220

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Matt Chapman
57.60
now 2
5
Ryan McMahon
57.60
now 6
5
Runshigher is better
Matt Chapman
2031.40
now 27
21
Ryan McMahon
2031.40
now 16
16
RBIhigher is better
Matt Chapman
2024.20
now 21
16
Ryan McMahon
2024.20
now 19
19
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Matt Chapman
.0004.20
now 0
0
Ryan McMahon
.0004.20
now 3
3
If you already own them — trade angle
SellMatt Chapman — sell.conf 0.61
Hold · steadyRyan McMahon — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet