Rest of Season Projection
MattCategoryRyan
13HR ←11
42R ←31
32RBI →36
0SB →6
.228AVG ←.207
Current Season
MattCategoryRyan
2HR →6
27R ←16
21RBI ←19
0SB →3
.234AVG ←.207
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Chapman
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.269 below league with no luck excuse
Ryan McMahon
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.285 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Matt Chapman: 13 HR / 42 R. Ryan McMahon: 11 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).