MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 10, 2026
Portrait of Matt Gage
Matt Gage
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Davis
Tyler Davis
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tyler Davis.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Matt Gage’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Tyler Davis wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Matt Gage wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Gage
92.2
Tyler Davis
96.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Gage
11.6%
Tyler Davis
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Gage
17.5%
Tyler Davis
20.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Gage
34.1%
Tyler Davis
33.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Gage
31.4%
Tyler Davis
41.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Gage
10.5%
Tyler Davis
4.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Gage
.352
Tyler Davis
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Gage
2.184.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
3.76
Tyler Davis
2.184.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.44
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Matt Gage
.9001.41
now 1.29
1.26
Tyler Davis
.9001.41
now 0.98
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Gage
4028.60
now 19
21
Tyler Davis
4028.60
now 17
23
Winshigher is better
Matt Gage
.0008
now 4
26
Tyler Davis
.0008
now 2
14
Saveshigher is better
Matt Gage
.0003.40
now 1
02
Tyler Davis
.0003.40
now 1
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeMatt Gage — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTyler Davis — hold.conf 0.50
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