MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Matt Gage
Matt Gage
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Kinley
Tyler Kinley
ATL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tyler Kinley.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Tyler Kinley wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Matt Gage wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Gage
92.2
Tyler Kinley
94.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Gage
11.6%
Tyler Kinley
12.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Gage
17.5%
Tyler Kinley
24.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Gage
34.1%
Tyler Kinley
24.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Gage
31.4%
Tyler Kinley
27.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Gage
10.5%
Tyler Kinley
7.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Gage
.352
Tyler Kinley
.279
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Gage
2.184.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
3.76
Tyler Kinley
2.184.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.16
3.67
WHIPlower is better
Matt Gage
1.101.36
now 1.29
1.26
Tyler Kinley
1.101.36
now 1.17
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Gage
4033.60
now 19
15
Tyler Kinley
4033.60
now 28
19
Winshigher is better
Matt Gage
1.204.80
now 4
24
Tyler Kinley
1.204.80
now 4
24
Saveshigher is better
Matt Gage
.0002.40
now 1
01
Tyler Kinley
.0002.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeMatt Gage — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTyler Kinley — hold.conf 0.50
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