Rest of Season Projection
MattCategoryTyler
31K →38
3.71ERA →3.66
1.25WHIP →1.24
3–9W3–9
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
MattCategoryTyler
19K →28
2.63ERA ←3.16
1.29WHIP →1.17
4W4
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Gage
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.227 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.05 is 1.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Kinley
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.88)
Matt Gage: 32 K / 3.71 ERA. Tyler Kinley: 39 K / 3.66 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).