Rest of Season Projection
MattCategoryVictor
31K →33
3.71ERA3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
3–9W ←1–3
1–3SV →5–9
Current Season
MattCategoryVictor
19K ←16
2.63ERA ←8.00
1.29WHIP ←2.11
4W ←1
1SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Gage
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.227 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.05 is 1.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Victor Vodnik
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.397 elevated and unstable — the 8.00 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.49 is +0.39 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Matt Gage: 32 K / 3.71 ERA. Victor Vodnik: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).