MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 2, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Victor Vodnik
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Victor Vodnik.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. Caleb Thielbar’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Victor Vodnik wins 2 categories (K, SV); Caleb Thielbar wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.3
Victor Vodnik
98.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
15.3%
Victor Vodnik
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
31.2%
Victor Vodnik
15.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
39.2%
Victor Vodnik
27.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
41.0%
Victor Vodnik
42.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
14.5%
Victor Vodnik
6.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.322
Victor Vodnik
.327
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
Victor Vodnik
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
.9002.46
now 1.34
1.24
Victor Vodnik
.9002.46
now 2.11
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4021.60
now 15
15
Victor Vodnik
4021.60
now 16
16
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.2003.80
now 2
13
Victor Vodnik
.2003.80
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0005.40
now 2
14
Victor Vodnik
.0005.40
now 4
24
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Thielbar — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeVictor Vodnik — hold.conf 0.55
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