Rest of Season Projection
CalebCategoryVictor
33K ←32
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–7W ←1–2
2–8SV →5–9
Current Season
CalebCategoryVictor
15K →16
2.84ERA ←8.00
1.34WHIP ←2.11
2W ←1
2SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Caleb Thielbar
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.82)
Victor Vodnik
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.397 elevated and unstable — the 8.00 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.51 is +0.41 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Caleb Thielbar: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Victor Vodnik: 32 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).
