MLB Daily DeltaWeek 12 · June 15, 2026
Engraved portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to
Victor Vodnik
COL·P
Hold med·0.55
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

CalebCategoryVictor
33K 32
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–7W 1–2
2–8SV 5–9

Current Season

CalebCategoryVictor
15K 16
2.84ERA 8.00
1.34WHIP 2.11
2W 1
2SV 4

What Each Player's System Trusts

Caleb Thielbar
  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.82)
Victor Vodnik
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.397 elevated and unstable — the 8.00 ERA overstates the damage
  • xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.51 is +0.41 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy

Caleb Thielbar: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Victor Vodnik: 32 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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