MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Portrait of Matt Gage
Matt Gage
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Wilber Dotel
Wilber Dotel
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Wilber Dotel.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Matt Gage’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Wilber Dotel wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Matt Gage wins 2 (W, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Gage
92.2
Wilber Dotel
98.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Gage
11.6%
Wilber Dotel
11.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Gage
17.5%
Wilber Dotel
24.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Gage
34.1%
Wilber Dotel
29.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Gage
31.4%
Wilber Dotel
52.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Gage
10.5%
Wilber Dotel
5.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Gage
.352
Wilber Dotel
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Gage
24.74
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
3.76
Wilber Dotel
24.74
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.32
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Matt Gage
.9001.51
now 1.29
1.26
Wilber Dotel
.9001.51
now 0.73
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Gage
4033.60
now 19
18
Wilber Dotel
4033.60
now 14
28
Winshigher is better
Matt Gage
.0006.60
now 4
25
Wilber Dotel
.0006.60
now 1
13
Saveshigher is better
Matt Gage
.0003.40
now 1
02
Wilber Dotel
.0003.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeMatt Gage — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeWilber Dotel — hold.conf 0.50
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