MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Matt Strahm
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Nate Pearson
Nate Pearson
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Strahm.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and wins. Nate Pearson’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Matt Strahm wins 2 categories (K, W); Nate Pearson wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Strahm
91.2
Nate Pearson
97.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Strahm
11.3%
Nate Pearson
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Strahm
17.6%
Nate Pearson
19.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Strahm
29.4%
Nate Pearson
29.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Strahm
39.2%
Nate Pearson
30.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Strahm
8.8%
Nate Pearson
7.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Strahm
.307
Nate Pearson
.325
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Strahm
25.40
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.86
3.70
Nate Pearson
25.40
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Matt Strahm
1.011.37
now 1.29
1.24
Nate Pearson
1.011.37
now 1.09
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Strahm
4037
now 17
27
Nate Pearson
4037
now 2
10
Winshigher is better
Matt Strahm
.0002.80
now 1
12
Nate Pearson
.0002.80
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Matt Strahm
.00011.20
now 0
0
Nate Pearson
.00011.20
now 1
28
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeMatt Strahm — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeNate Pearson — hold.conf 0.50
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