Rest of Season Projection
MattCategoryTyler
46K ←44
3.89ERA →3.68
1.26WHIP ←1.29
1–2W ←0–0
0SV →1–5
Current Season
MattCategoryTyler
26K →33
8.77ERA →1.63
1.95WHIP →1.27
1W ←0
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Svanson
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (7.32)
Tyler Phillips
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.264 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.59 is 1.96 above the ERA — regression coming
Matt Svanson: 46 K / 3.89 ERA. Tyler Phillips: 44 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).