MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Matt Waldron
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Troy Melton
Troy Melton
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matt Waldron wins 1 (K); Troy Melton wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Waldron
91.9
Troy Melton
96.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Waldron
8.8%
Troy Melton
11.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Waldron
20.0%
Troy Melton
17.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Waldron
31.7%
Troy Melton
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Waldron
39.2%
Troy Melton
33.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Waldron
7.6%
Troy Melton
6.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Waldron
.306
Troy Melton
.287
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Waldron
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.49
4.09
Troy Melton
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.42
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Matt Waldron
.9002.01
now 1.71
1.30
Troy Melton
.9002.01
now 0.95
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Waldron
4072.60
now 22
53
Troy Melton
4072.60
now 4
20
Winshigher is better
Matt Waldron
.0009.40
now 1
23
Troy Melton
.0009.40
now 1
37

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowMatt Waldron — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Sell HighTroy Melton — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.93
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