Rest of Season Projection
EdwardCategoryTroy
90K ←28
4.59ERA →4.10
1.36WHIP →1.30
3–7W →4–8
0SV0
Current Season
EdwardCategoryTroy
53K ←4
4.99ERA →1.42
1.42WHIP →0.95
3W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Edward Cabrera
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.85 +0.75 vs league with no luck excuse
Troy Melton
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.197 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.32 is 1.51 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Edward Cabrera: 90 K / 4.59 ERA. Troy Melton: 28 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).