Rest of Season Projection
KodaiCategoryTroy
86K ←28
4.10ERA4.10
1.30WHIP1.30
0–0W →4–8
0SV0
Current Season
KodaiCategoryTroy
23K ←4
9.00ERA →1.42
1.95WHIP →0.95
0W →1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kodai Senga
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.74)
Troy Melton
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.197 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.31 is 1.50 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Kodai Senga: 87 K / 4.10 ERA. Troy Melton: 29 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).