Rest of Season Projection
SladeCategoryTroy
82K ←35
4.33ERA →4.10
1.37WHIP →1.30
3–7W →4–9
0SV0
Current Season
SladeCategoryTroy
50K ←4
5.25ERA →1.42
1.49WHIP →0.95
3W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Slade Cecconi
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.325 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Troy Melton
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.175 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.45 is 2.71 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 11% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Slade Cecconi: 82 K / 4.33 ERA. Troy Melton: 35 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).