Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryTroy
105K ←36
4.29ERA →4.10
1.41WHIP →1.30
4–8W →4–9
0SV0
Current Season
DavidCategoryTroy
56K ←4
5.18ERA →1.42
1.59WHIP →0.95
3W ←1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Peterson
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.39)
Troy Melton
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.175 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.45 is 2.71 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 11% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
David Peterson: 105 K / 4.29 ERA. Troy Melton: 36 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).