Rest of Season Projection
AaronCategoryEdward
73K →91
4.75ERA →4.55
1.37WHIP →1.36
5–11W ←3–7
0SV0
Current Season
AaronCategoryEdward
39K →53
4.20ERA ←4.99
1.47WHIP →1.42
5W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Aaron Civale
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.10 +1.00 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Edward Cabrera
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.80 +0.70 vs league with no luck excuse
Aaron Civale: 73 K / 4.75 ERA. Edward Cabrera: 91 K / 4.55 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).