Rest of Season Projection
AaronCategoryJake
73K ←43
4.75ERA →4.10
1.37WHIP →1.30
5–11W ←3–6
0SV0
Current Season
AaronCategoryJake
39K ←8
4.20ERA ←5.28
1.47WHIP ←1.50
5W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Aaron Civale
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.10 +1.00 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jake Bennett
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.11)
Civale leads Bennett in K, 73 to 43, but trails in ERA, 4.75 to 4.10. The skill-profile gap widens the verdict split: fade Civale, hold Bennett.