week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—
Jake Bennett
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.11); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 43ERA 4.10WHIP 1.30W 3–6SV 0
Bennett is a hold — limited data, no edge yet.
ROS projects K 8 YTD → 43 ROS, ERA 5.28 YTD → 4.10 ROS, WHIP 1.50 YTD → 1.30 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.11)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed42.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.3%vs his norm —
52 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —Barrel % Allowed is below the ~8.0% league average — expect it to rise.
52 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.318
lg avg .315 ▲+.003vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
65 / 200 TBF
xERA4.11
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.01vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
65 / 200 TBF
ERA5.28
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.18vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
15.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %12.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−9.7%vs his norm —Strikeout % is below the ~22.0% league average — expect it to rise.
65 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.0% league average — expect it to rise.
65 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.340
lg avg .295 ▲+.045vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
52 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 12.3%→14.2%noise43 K — K% 12.3% (noise) lifted to SP mean ~22.0% → projected 14.2% over ~71 remaining IP.
xERA 4.11noise4.10 ERA — xERA 4.11 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 4.10 at 15 IP.
BB% 7.7% + contactnoise1.30 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.298 gives a 1.52 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role3-6 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop43 K ROS, 4.10 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.