Rest of Season Projection
MaxCategoryTristan
16HR ←11
63R ←28
34RBI →58
0SB →3
.239AVG →.241
Current Season
MaxCategoryTristan
14HR ←4
39R ←11
21RBI →23
0SB →1
.253AVG ←.237
What Each Player's System Trusts
Max Muncy
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.386, +0.071 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Tristan Gray
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.307)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Max Muncy: 16 HR / 63 R. Tristan Gray: 11 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).