Rest of Season Projection
MerrillCategorySimeon
77K ←65
6.17ERA →5.25
1.45WHIP ←1.59
6–13W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
MerrillCategorySimeon
33K ←26
5.06ERA ←7.74
1.46WHIP ←1.89
5W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Merrill Kelly
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 7.28 +3.18 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Simeon Woods Richardson
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.87 +1.77 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Merrill Kelly: 77 K / 6.17 ERA. Simeon Woods Richardson: 65 K / 5.25 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).