Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategoryTy
9HR9
33R ←29
36RBI →44
0SB →2
.245AVG.246
Current Season
MichaelCategoryTy
4HR →6
12R12
13RBI →18
0SB →1
.269AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael Conforto
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.389)
Ty France
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.331 is 0.040 below the surface — regression coming
Michael Conforto: 9 HR / 33 R. Ty France: 9 HR / 29 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).