Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategoryMike
65K →92
4.93ERA →4.48
1.28WHIP ←1.41
3–6W3–7
0SV0
Current Season
MichaelCategoryMike
44K →54
2.98ERA ←5.40
1.10WHIP ←1.45
3W3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael McGreevy
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.38 is 2.39 above the ERA — regression coming
Mike Burrows
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.321 elevated and unstable — the 5.77 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraSIGNALbut luck-free xERA 4.68 is +0.58 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Michael McGreevy: 65 K / 4.93 ERA. Mike Burrows: 92 K / 4.48 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).