Rest of Season Projection
EricCategoryMichael
76K ←64
4.98ERA ←5.14
1.40WHIP →1.31
3–6W3–6
0SV0
Current Season
EricCategoryMichael
30K →44
5.95ERA →2.98
1.39WHIP →1.10
2W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Eric Lauer
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.45 +1.35 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Michael McGreevy
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.249 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.70 is 2.72 above the ERA — regression coming
Eric Lauer: 76 K / 4.98 ERA. Michael McGreevy: 64 K / 5.14 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).