Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategoryParker
97K →108
4.09ERA →3.38
1.23WHIP →1.22
8–16W ←6–12
0SV0
Current Season
MichaelCategoryParker
60K →74
3.25ERA →2.21
1.20WHIP →1.07
7W ←6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael Soroka
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.09)
Parker Messick
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.270 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.38 is 0.98 above the ERA — regression coming
Michael Soroka: 97 K / 4.09 ERA. Parker Messick: 108 K / 3.38 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).