Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategorySandy
95K ←93
3.96ERA →3.93
1.32WHIP ←1.34
4–8W4–8
0SV0
Current Season
MichaelCategorySandy
65K ←57
3.23ERA ←4.59
1.12WHIP ←1.30
4W4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael Wacha
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.96 is 0.73 above the ERA — regression coming
Sandy Alcantara
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.93)
Michael Wacha: 95 K / 3.96 ERA. Sandy Alcantara: 93 K / 3.93 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).