Rest of Season Projection
MiguelCategoryNolan
15HR ←13
67R ←28
58RBI ←41
14SB ←0
.229AVG ←.204
Current Season
MiguelCategoryNolan
15HR ←6
44R ←17
38RBI ←25
9SB ←0
.241AVG ←.207
What Each Player's System Trusts
Miguel Vargas
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.395, +0.080 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Nolan Gorman
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.289 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Miguel Vargas: 15 HR / 67 R. Nolan Gorman: 13 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).