Rest of Season Projection
NathanCategoryTrevor
9HR ←7
31R →43
31RBI ←28
7SB ←3
.239AVG →.242
Current Season
NathanCategoryTrevor
5HR ←3
18R →26
18RBI ←17
4SB ←2
.260AVG →.262
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nathan Church
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.287 below league with no luck excuse
Trevor Larnach
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.318)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.317 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Nathan Church: 9 HR / 31 R. Trevor Larnach: 7 HR / 43 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).