Rest of Season Projection
NickCategoryTristan
6HR →11
43R ←28
41RBI →58
5SB ←3
.313AVG ←.241
Current Season
NickCategoryTristan
1HR →4
27R ←11
26RBI ←23
3SB ←1
.303AVG ←.237
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nick Gonzales
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.345, +0.030 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Tristan Gray
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.307)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Nick Gonzales: 6 HR / 43 R. Tristan Gray: 11 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).