Rest of Season Projection
NickCategoryWilli
6HR →7
33R →42
42RBI ←33
0SB →7
.240AVG ←.220
Current Season
NickCategoryWilli
0HR →2
11R →24
14RBI →19
0SB →4
.214AVG →.262
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nick Loftin
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.310)
Willi Castro
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.284 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Nick Loftin: 6 HR / 33 R. Willi Castro: 7 HR / 42 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).