MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 4, 2026
Portrait of Nick Mears
Nick Mears
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Nick Mears wins 2 (ERA, W); Pierce Johnson wins 2 (K, SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Nick Mears
94.8
Pierce Johnson
95.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Nick Mears
8.2%
Pierce Johnson
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Nick Mears
18.1%
Pierce Johnson
23.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Nick Mears
29.2%
Pierce Johnson
32.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Nick Mears
50.9%
Pierce Johnson
40.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Nick Mears
12.3%
Pierce Johnson
15.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Nick Mears
.382
Pierce Johnson
.387
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Nick Mears
2.535.86
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.12
3.70
Pierce Johnson
2.535.86
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Nick Mears
1.121.61
now 1.50
1.24
Pierce Johnson
1.121.61
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Nick Mears
4031.60
now 15
23
Pierce Johnson
4031.60
now 20
26
Winshigher is better
Nick Mears
.0005.20
now 2
14
Pierce Johnson
.0005.20
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Nick Mears
.0003.40
now 0
0
Pierce Johnson
.0003.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeNick Mears — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighPierce Johnson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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