MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 7, 2026
Portrait of Nick Mears
Nick Mears
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Alexander
Tyler Alexander
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nick Mears.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins. Tyler Alexander’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Nick Mears wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Tyler Alexander wins 2 (ERA, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Nick Mears
94.8
Tyler Alexander
91.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Nick Mears
8.2%
Tyler Alexander
9.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Nick Mears
18.1%
Tyler Alexander
20.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Nick Mears
29.2%
Tyler Alexander
31.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Nick Mears
50.9%
Tyler Alexander
33.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Nick Mears
12.3%
Tyler Alexander
2.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Nick Mears
.382
Tyler Alexander
.271
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Nick Mears
2.325.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.12
3.70
Tyler Alexander
2.325.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.12
3.66
WHIPlower is better
Nick Mears
1.141.60
now 1.50
1.24
Tyler Alexander
1.141.60
now 1.38
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Nick Mears
4028.60
now 15
23
Tyler Alexander
4028.60
now 21
20
Winshigher is better
Nick Mears
.0005.20
now 2
14
Tyler Alexander
.0005.20
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
Nick Mears
.0005.60
now 0
0
Tyler Alexander
.0005.60
now 2
14
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeNick Mears — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTyler Alexander — hold.conf 0.50
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