Rest of Season Projection
OneilCategoryOwen
19HR ←9
63R ←33
61RBI ←58
28SB ←6
.242AVG ←.189
Current Season
OneilCategoryOwen
13HR ←5
42R ←17
41RBI ←30
19SB ←3
.255AVG ←.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Owen Caissie
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.283 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 40% is stable and high — caps the floor
Oneil Cruz: 19 HR / 63 R. Owen Caissie: 9 HR / 33 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).