Rest of Season Projection
OrlandoCategoryPaul
25K →27
3.70ERA3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.25
0–0W →2–5
2–7SV ←0
Current Season
OrlandoCategoryPaul
12K →16
1.72ERA ←3.33
0.89WHIP ←1.44
0W →2
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Orlando Ribalta
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.196 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.73 is 0.87 above the ERA — regression coming
Paul Blackburn
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.94)
Orlando Ribalta: 26 K / 3.70 ERA. Paul Blackburn: 28 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).