Rest of Season Projection
ParkerCategoryShota
104K ←94
3.33ERA ←3.68
1.24WHIP →1.16
5–12W ←4–8
0SV0
Current Season
ParkerCategoryShota
74K ←69
2.21ERA ←4.37
1.07WHIP1.07
6W ←4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Parker Messick
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.33 is 0.65 above the ERA — regression coming
Shota Imanaga
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.68)
Parker Messick: 104 K / 3.33 ERA. Shota Imanaga: 94 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).