Rest of Season Projection
PatrickCategoryZac
81K →91
4.85ERA ←4.96
1.38WHIP ←1.40
3–5W →3–7
0SV0
Current Season
PatrickCategoryZac
36K →42
3.65ERA ←5.16
1.36WHIP ←1.47
2W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Patrick Corbin
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.25 +1.15 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Zac Gallen
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.43 +1.33 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Patrick Corbin: 81 K / 4.85 ERA. Zac Gallen: 91 K / 4.96 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).