Rest of Season Projection
PaulCategoryShane
126K ←105
2.28ERA ←3.58
1.04WHIP ←1.29
6–14W →7–16
0SV0
Current Season
PaulCategoryShane
75K ←53
2.89ERA →2.45
0.86WHIP ←1.02
6W6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.28, 1.82 below league — production is earned
Shane McClanahan
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.240 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.58 is 1.12 above the ERA — regression coming
Paul Skenes: 126 K / 2.28 ERA. Shane McClanahan: 105 K / 3.58 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).