Rest of Season Projection
PaulCategoryWalbert
126K ←87
2.28ERA ←3.93
1.04WHIP ←1.36
6–14W ←3–6
0SV0
Current Season
PaulCategoryWalbert
75K ←41
2.89ERA →2.44
0.86WHIP ←1.38
6W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.28, 1.82 below league — production is earned
Walbert Ureña
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.31 is 0.87 above the ERA — regression coming
Paul Skenes: 126 K / 2.28 ERA. Walbert Ureña: 87 K / 3.93 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).