MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 29, 2026
Portrait of Paxton Schultz
Paxton Schultz
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Alexander
Tyler Alexander
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Paxton Schultz wins 2 (K, WHIP); Tyler Alexander wins 2 (ERA, W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Paxton Schultz
93.6
Tyler Alexander
91.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Paxton Schultz
8.5%
Tyler Alexander
9.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Paxton Schultz
21.1%
Tyler Alexander
20.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Paxton Schultz
26.2%
Tyler Alexander
32.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Paxton Schultz
38.2%
Tyler Alexander
34.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Paxton Schultz
8.8%
Tyler Alexander
3.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Paxton Schultz
.336
Tyler Alexander
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Paxton Schultz
2.405.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.91
3.72
Tyler Alexander
2.405.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.12
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Paxton Schultz
1.171.45
now 1.36
1.24
Tyler Alexander
1.171.45
now 1.38
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Paxton Schultz
4029.60
now 24
23
Tyler Alexander
4029.60
now 21
14
Winshigher is better
Paxton Schultz
.0001.48
now 0
00
Tyler Alexander
.0001.48
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Paxton Schultz
.0004.40
now 1
02
Tyler Alexander
.0004.40
now 2
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seePaxton Schultz — hold.conf 0.55
Hold · wait & seeTyler Alexander — hold.conf 0.50
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