MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 29, 2026
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Paxton Schultz
Paxton Schultz
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Justin Sterner wins 2 (ERA, W); Paxton Schultz wins 2 (K, SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Sterner
93.5
Paxton Schultz
93.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
15.6%
Paxton Schultz
8.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
21.7%
Paxton Schultz
21.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
33.9%
Paxton Schultz
26.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
45.0%
Paxton Schultz
38.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
9.2%
Paxton Schultz
8.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Sterner
.292
Paxton Schultz
.336
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Sterner
2.995.46
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.69
Paxton Schultz
2.995.46
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.91
3.72
WHIPlower is better
Justin Sterner
1.011.46
now 1.11
1.24
Paxton Schultz
1.011.46
now 1.36
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Sterner
4031.60
now 26
19
Paxton Schultz
4031.60
now 24
23
Winshigher is better
Justin Sterner
.0002.80
now 2
12
Paxton Schultz
.0002.80
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Justin Sterner
.0003.40
now 0
0
Paxton Schultz
.0003.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seePaxton Schultz — hold.conf 0.55
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