Rest of Season Projection
RichieCategoryTravis
4HR →5
40R ←32
38RBI ←27
16SB →19
.224AVG →.249
Current Season
RichieCategoryTravis
1HR →3
18R ←13
17RBI ←11
7SB →8
.248AVG →.294
What Each Player's System Trusts
Richie Palacios
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.308)
Travis Bazzana
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.349 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.328 is 0.040 below the surface — regression coming
Richie Palacios: 4 HR / 40 R. Travis Bazzana: 5 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).