Rest of Season Projection
RyneCategoryTyler
44K ←25
3.71ERA →3.61
1.25WHIP1.25
1–2W1–2
1–3SV →2–4
Current Season
RyneCategoryTyler
30K ←16
5.56ERA →2.36
1.76WHIP →1.13
1W1
1SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ryne Stanek
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.91 sits 0.19 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.323 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Tyler Rogers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.29)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ryne Stanek: 45 K / 3.71 ERA. Tyler Rogers: 26 K / 3.61 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).