Rest of Season Projection
SamCategoryTyler
43K ←36
3.68ERA3.67
1.25WHIP1.25
1–3W1–2
1–3SV →1–6
Current Season
SamCategoryTyler
26K ←21
2.49ERA ←3.12
1.07WHIP ←1.38
1W1
1SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Sam Moll
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.213 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.34 is 0.95 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Alexander
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.12)
Sam Moll: 43 K / 3.68 ERA. Tyler Alexander: 36 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).