Rest of Season Projection
SamCategoryWill
43K ←39
3.68ERA ←3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–3W1–3
1–3SV1–3
Current Season
SamCategoryWill
26K ←20
2.49ERA ←7.23
1.07WHIP ←1.45
1W1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Sam Moll
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.213 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.34 is 0.95 above the ERA — regression coming
Will Vest
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.340 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Sam Moll: 43 K / 3.68 ERA. Will Vest: 39 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).