MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Samy Natera Jr.
LAA · P
Change to
Portrait of Tim Hill
Tim Hill
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Samy Natera Jr. wins 1 (K); Tim Hill wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Samy Natera Jr.
94.5
Tim Hill
89.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Samy Natera Jr.
16.4%
Tim Hill
7.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Samy Natera Jr.
38.4%
Tim Hill
11.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Samy Natera Jr.
27.0%
Tim Hill
27.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Samy Natera Jr.
30.6%
Tim Hill
43.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Samy Natera Jr.
5.6%
Tim Hill
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Samy Natera Jr.
.211
Tim Hill
.323
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Samy Natera Jr.
25.64
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Tim Hill
25.64
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.03
3.71
WHIPlower is better
Samy Natera Jr.
.9001.54
now 0.50
1.24
Tim Hill
.9001.54
now 1.21
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Samy Natera Jr.
4040.80
now 3
30
Tim Hill
4040.80
now 11
11
Winshigher is better
Samy Natera Jr.
.0002.80
now 0
00
Tim Hill
.0002.80
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeSamy Natera Jr. — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTim Hill — hold.conf 0.50
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