MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Samy Natera Jr.
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 5 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W, SV); Samy Natera Jr. wins 0 (none).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
97.0
Samy Natera Jr.
94.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.2%
Samy Natera Jr.
16.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
35.3%
Samy Natera Jr.
38.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.8%
Samy Natera Jr.
27.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
43.9%
Samy Natera Jr.
30.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.1%
Samy Natera Jr.
5.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.278
Samy Natera Jr.
.211
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.66
Samy Natera Jr.
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9001.54
now 1.08
1.23
Samy Natera Jr.
.9001.54
now 0.50
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4057.60
now 42
31
Samy Natera Jr.
4057.60
now 3
30
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0002.80
now 2
12
Samy Natera Jr.
.0002.80
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00028
now 20
1019
Samy Natera Jr.
.00028
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeSamy Natera Jr. — hold.conf 0.50
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