Rest of Season Projection
SeanCategoryShawn
65K ←37
3.77ERA →3.70
1.26WHIP →1.24
0–0W →1–3
0SV0
Current Season
SeanCategoryShawn
42K ←19
5.08ERA →3.60
1.46WHIP →1.33
0W →1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Sean Manaea
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.343 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Shawn Armstrong
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.53 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Sean Manaea: 65 K / 3.77 ERA. Shawn Armstrong: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).